Dec 2016 Market Update

 

The single family median home price in the South Shore has seen fairly aggressive appreciation in 2017, especially towards the later half of the year with appreciation rates ranging from about 10%-15%.  This time last year our median single family home price was $369,000.  The median single family home price is now $420,000.  Overall inventory is slightly down from this time last year with 185 active single family listings compared to 206 active single family listings.  The bottom line, there are less homes on the market for buyers to choose from yet still a demand resulting in rising home prices and continued appreciation. Check out the links below for the actual stats and reports from the South Tahoe Association of Realtors.   Then contact me for a complimentary market analysis to see what your Tahoe property is currently worth!

http://www.staor.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/SFMA.ByArea.Dec2016.pdf  -Single Family Median Prices by Area

http://www.staor.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/SFMA-MedSoldDec2016.pdf  -Single Family Median Prices Month by Month

http://www.staor.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/SF.Actives.Dec2016.pdf  -Single Family Active Listings

http://www.staor.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/CondoMA.Dec2016.pdf – Condo Median Prices Month by Month

http://www.staor.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/CondoActive.Dec2016.pdf Condo Active Listings

November 2015 Market Update

The stats tell the story.  The single family median home price in the South Shore has been flat for 5 months with expected conservative appreciation rates as we head into the winter 2015/spring 2016.  Overall inventory is slightly up from this time last year.   We’re off to a great snow season, which bodes for an interesting 2015 4th quarter and 2016 1st quarter too.

http://www.staor.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/SF-Market-Analysis-Nov-2015.pdf

http://www.staor.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/SF-Active-Listing-Nov-2015.pdf

http://www.staor.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Condo-Mkt-Analysis-Nov-2015.pdf\

http://www.staor.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Active-Condo-Listings-Nov-2015.pdf

 

September home sales and price report for California

September home sales and price report

For release:
October 22, 2014

http://www.car.org/newsstand/newsreleases/2014releases/sep2014sales#

California home sales maintain pace in September as price gains temper and market balances

LOS ANGELES (Oct. 22) – California home sales remained steady in September, as home price gains eased back from an unusually high increase in August, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.

Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 396,440 units in September, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide.  Sales in September inched up 0.4 percent from a revised 394,700 in August and were down 4.2 percent from 413,850 in September 2013.  September marked the 11th straight month that sales were below the 400,000 level and the 14th straight month that sales have declined on a year-over-year basis.  The statewide sales figure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2014 if sales maintained the September pace throughout the year.  It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

“All of the current market indicators point to a more balanced real estate market,” said C.A.R. President Kevin Brown.  “With market competition cooling down, buyers’ and sellers’ expectations are more in line with each other.  The sales price-to-list price ratio is moving toward a more normal level of nearly 98 percent, as compared to 100 percent a year ago, when the market saw a frenzy of multiple offers.  The drop in the ratio implies that sellers are pricing more realistically.”

The median price of an existing, single-family detached California home fell 4 percent from August’s median price of $480,280 to $460,940 in September but was up 7.6 percent from the revised $428,290 recorded in September 2013.  The statewide median home price has been higher on a year-over-year basis for more than two years. The median sales price is the point at which half of homes sold for more and half sold for less; it is influenced by the types of homes selling as well as a general change in values.

“September’s slight sales increase and tempering in home price gains suggest optimism as we head into the slower homebuying season,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young.  “Home prices are stabilizing, and the year-to-year sales decline is at the lowest level we’ve seen in the last 12 months.  The cooling price growth and recent drops in mortgage rates will ease housing affordability and help to improve sales in the final months of the year.”

Other key facts from C.A.R.’s September 2014 resale housing report include:

• Housing inventory inched up higher in September, with the available supply of existing, single-family detached homes for sale increasing from 4 months in August to 4.2 months in September. The index was 3.6 months in September 2013.  The index indicates the number of months needed to sell the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate.  A six- to seven-month supply is considered typical in a normal market.
• The median number of days it took to sell a single-family home rose in September, up from a revised 38.5 days in August to 39.2 days in September and from a revised 29.8 days in September 2013.
• Mortgage rates rose slightly in September, with the 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rate averaging 4.16 percent, up from 4.12 percent in August but down from 4.49 percent in September 2013, according to Freddie Mac.  Adjustable-mortgage interest rates in September were also up, averaging 2.43 percent, up from 2.37 percent in August but down from 2.67 percent in September 2013.

Graphics (click links to open):

• September sales at-a-glance infographic.
• Unsold Inventory by price range.
• Change in sales by price range.
• Share of sales by price range.

Note:  The County MLS median price and sales data in the tables are generated from a survey of more than 90 associations of REALTORS® throughout the state, and represent statistics of existing single-family detached homes only.  County sales data are not adjusted to account for seasonal factors that can influence home sales.  Movements in sales prices should not be interpreted as changes in the cost of a standard home.  The median price is where half sold for more and half sold for less; medians are more typical than average prices, which are skewed by a relatively small share of transactions at either the lower-end or the upper-end. Median prices can be influenced by changes in cost, as well as changes in the characteristics and the size of homes sold.  Due to the low sales volume in some areas, median price changes in September exhibit unusual fluctuation. The change in median prices should not be construed as actual price changes in specific homes.

Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with 165,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.
September 2014 County Sales and Price Activity
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

September-14 Median Sold Price of Existing Single-Family Homes Sales
State/Region/County Sep-14 Aug-14   Sep-13   MTM% Chg YTY% Chg MTM% Chg YTY% Chg
CA SFH (SAAR) $460,940 $480,280 $428,290 r -4.0% 7.6% 0.4% -4.2%
CA Condo/Townhomes $369,500 $379,580 $343,700 r -2.7% 7.5% -0.4% -1.8%
Los Angeles Metro $414,300 $434,550 $392,030 r -4.7% 5.7% -3.7% -2.2%
Inland Empire $275,820 $275,240 $252,100 0.2% 9.4% -0.3% -0.5%
S.F. Bay Area $730,240 $742,900 $678,520 r -1.7% 7.6% -7.5% 1.5%
 
S.F. Bay Area
Alameda        $675,430 $732,220 $640,340 -7.8% 5.5% -9.2% 8.3%
Contra-Costa (Central Cty) $742,520 $750,000 $679,960 -1.0% 9.2% -23.0% -6.4%
Marin $1,151,040 $977,460 $893,140 17.8% 28.9% -16.4% -9.1%
Napa $633,930 $541,670 $477,270 17.0% 32.8% 18.5% -10.3%
San Francisco $950,340 $900,910 $858,330 5.5% 10.7% -6.2% 0.0%
San Mateo $1,075,000 $1,000,000 $909,000 r 7.5% 18.3% -3.5% 13.9%
Santa Clara $850,000 $865,000 $779,480 r -1.7% 9.0% -2.7% -4.5%
Solano $328,040 $328,280 $286,220 -0.1% 14.6% -8.5% 6.5%
Sonoma $496,400 $484,640 $455,850 2.4% 8.9% 1.9% 10.2%
Southern California
Los Angeles        $486,030 $474,640 $459,010 r 2.4% 5.9% 0.8% -1.8%
Orange County $696,190 $699,430 $672,680 -0.5% 3.5% -13.2% -3.6%
Riverside County $316,500 $318,640 $293,560 -0.7% 7.8% -2.7% -2.9%
San Bernardino $213,940 $209,200 $185,860 2.3% 15.1% 3.6% 3.3%
San Diego $519,420 $510,860 $490,130 1.7% 6.0% -2.0% 0.4%
Ventura $589,080 $602,060 $550,000 -2.2% 7.1% -20.3% -10.8%
Central Coast
Monterey $451,000 $492,500 $422,500 -8.4% 6.7% -2.7% -4.9%
San Luis Obispo $480,640 $475,000 $495,350 1.2% -3.0% -10.3% 3.5%
Santa Barbara $778,230 $806,030 $641,300 r -3.4% 21.4% 3.2% -6.3%
Santa Cruz $670,000 $657,600 $639,500 1.9% 4.8% 2.2% 14.5%
Central Valley
Fresno $208,210 $203,760 $185,830 2.2% 12.0% -0.3% -1.6%
Glenn $147,500 $170,000 $134,000 -13.2% 10.1% 18.8% -9.5%
Kern (Bakersfield) $215,750 $212,800 r $193,500 r 1.4% 11.5% -20.5% 1.8%
Kings County $183,330 $183,330 $168,460 0.0% 8.8% 16.7% 1.2%
Madera        $156,670 $166,670 $190,000 -6.0% -17.5% -6.3% -31.8%
Merced $159,500 $186,670 $178,570 -14.6% -10.7% 10.6% 21.1%
Placer County $384,850 $388,720 $365,290 -1.0% 5.4% -2.6% 9.7%
Sacramento $276,960 $272,750 $255,390 1.5% 8.4% -2.0% 0.4%
San Benito $424,000 $415,000 $428,950 2.2% -1.2% -9.8% -2.6%
San Joaquin $265,400 $265,060 $242,370 0.1% 9.5% -1.6% -12.0%
Stanislaus $230,000 $232,240 $194,890 -1.0% 18.0% -5.6% -4.9%
Tulare $175,000 $184,440 $163,500 -5.1% 7.0% -6.9% 3.6%
Other Counties in California
Amador        $225,000        $211,110 $252,780 6.6% -11.0% -9.5% -15.6%
Butte County $258,650 $255,000 $250,000 1.4% 3.5% -11.5% 22.3%
Calaveras $238,000 $224,000     $218,990 6.3% 8.7% 8.7% 2.4%
Del Norte $138,000 $156,200     $136,500 -11.7% 1.1% -29.2% -15.0%
El Dorado County $364,650 $391,670 $334,910 r -6.9% 8.9% -13.9% 2.4%
Humboldt $246,050 $255,260 $251,090 -3.6% -2.0% -11.2% -26.9%
Lake County $180,000 $178,330 $150,000 0.9% 20.0% -24.7% -17.1%
Tuolumne $215,910 $214,710 $207,690 0.6% 4.0% -33.8% -22.1%
Mendocino $307,690 $291,670 $285,710 5.5% 7.7% 5.0% 23.5%
Nevada $322,500 $338,500 $306,000 -4.7% 5.4% -26.9% -8.4%
Plumas $270,000 $272,000 $270,000 -0.7% 0.0% -25.0% 0.0%
Shasta $222,550 $212,190 $189,050 4.9% 17.7% 10.2% 18.0%
Siskiyou County $155,000 $127,500 $155,000 21.6% 0.0% -34.7% -27.3%
Sutter $215,000        $217,750     $204,700 -1.3% 5.0% 4.8% -12.2%
Tehama        $166,670 $156,000 $150,000 6.8% 11.1% 33.3% 18.5%
Yolo $344,230 $396,550 $331,030 -13.2% 4.0% -6.9% 8.0%
Yuba $220,750        $200,000 $170,000 10.4% 29.9% -1.4% -1.4%

r = revised
NA = not available

September 2014 County Unsold Inventory and Time on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

September-14 Unsold Inventory Index Median Time on Market
State/Region/County Sep-14 Aug-14   Sep-13   ##### #####   #####  
Calif. Single-family (SAAR) 4.2 4.0 3.6 39.2 38.5 r 29.8 r
Calif. Condo/Townhomes 3.5 3.5 3.1 42.8 36.3 r 29.7
Los Angeles Metro 4.5 4.3 3.7 r 49.9 48.4 37.4
Inland Empire 4.8 4.9 r 3.8 r 51.1 50.0 31.8
San Francisco Bay Area 2.8 2.6 2.7 r 35.5 37.6 38.0 r
 
San Francisco Bay Area
Alameda 2.3 2.2 2.6 49.8 47.3 49.2
Contra-Costa (Central Cty) 2.9 2.4 2.1 r 52.3 50.2 50.1 r
Marin 3.6 2.8 3.8 45.2 40.1 43.2
Napa 5.3 6.7 5.0 64.4 52.8 53.1
San Francisco 3.6 2.9 3.4 23.1 23.5 23.7
San Mateo 2.0 1.9 2.6 19.9 20.8 20.1
Santa Clara 2.2 2.2 2.1 21.1 20.3 20.1
Solano 3.8 3.4 3.1 46.3 42.1 35.4
Sonoma 3.0 3.4 3.6 48.4 45.2 48.2
Southern California
Los Angeles 4.2 4.0 3.4 45.1 43.0 33.0
Orange County 4.3 4.0 3.8 57.3 55.0 51.0
Riverside County 4.9 4.8 3.8 53.5 55.2 32.2
San Bernardino 4.7 5.0 r 3.8 47.1 38.2 31.2
San Diego 4.4 4.5 4.2 26.9 25.7 25.5
Ventura 5.1 4.1 3.7 59.2 56.8 45.6
Central Coast
Monterey 4.6 4.4 4.0 26.1 29.2 26.6
San Luis Obispo 5.1 5.0 5.4 46.7 40.6 29.0
Santa Barbara 4.3 4.7 3.9 r 37.3 42.8 37.6 r
Santa Cruz 3.1 3.2 3.8 27.6 23.4 22.8
Central Valley
Fresno 5.2 5.2 4.4 27.1 27.8 25.0
Glenn 5.5 5.5 4.5 33.9 50.3 45.5
Kern (Bakersfield) 3.7 2.9 2.9 r 28.0 24.0 r 16.0 r
Kings County 3.2 4.0 3.0 41.9 50.3 37.2
Madera 7.1 6.9 5.0 41.9 26.8 27.6
Merced 4.1 4.6 3.2 34.0 27.5 21.9
Placer County 3.8 3.8 3.2 27.0 27.4 22.1
Sacramento 3.4 3.4 3.0 23.9 23.5 20.4
San Benito 4.5 4.1 3.4 24.3 23.9 19.4
San Joaquin 3.7 3.7 2.8 23.4 24.1 19.5
Stanislaus 3.7 3.4 2.7 24.0 24.5 20.1
Tulare 4.9 4.5 4.2 36.2 37.0 24.1
Other Counties in California
Amador 6.8 5.6 4.4 64.6 61.0 43.1
Butte County 4.6 4.4 5.5 29.8 27.5 37.2
Calaveras 6.9 8.4 6.0 72.0 42.0 64.0
Del Norte 11.6 7.4 8.8 103.0 129.0 96.0
El Dorado County 5.2 4.9 4.9 55.2 36.7 34.2
Humboldt 7.2 7.0 5.1 45.5 32.7 32.9
Lake County 8.3 6.4 5.7 58.7 103.3 74.2
Tuolumne 9.0 6.5 6.5 72.6 49.1 51.1
Mendocino 9.0 9.5 10.8 57.8 102.6 85.9
Nevada 8.4 6.5 6.5 51.0 34.0 21.0
Plumas 11.4 9.5 10.9 151.0 112.0 118.0
Shasta 5.8 6.6 5.5 42.0 28.3 38.8
Siskiyou County 12.6 9.1 8.9 38.3 64.6 57.6
Sutter 4.5 5.0 2.7 40.0 20.0 14.0
Tehama 7.4 10.2 7.6 61.0 54.2 36.4
Yolo 3.5 3.5 3.6 26.4 24.3 21.0
Yuba 3.8 3.8 2.9 28.0 19.0 16.0

r = revised
NA = not available

 

Single Family Homes for Sale for Entire MLS Area- Number of Active Listings, By Price Point

The number of Single Family Homes for sale has been steadily, and consistently, declining since 2008.  With inventory being low, there are less homes for buyers to choose from, which may help us to shift into a new market cycle.  A low supply, and high demand for homes priced under $200,000, has contributed to some appreciation (yes, appreciation, not depreciation!) in this particular price point.  The following link shows the stats- Homes for Sale for Entire MLS Area.